Nvidia ( NVDA ) stock sank more than 2% early Tuesday as investors grew cautious that the AI spending that has fueled its rise could ease or spread to rivals.
Shares of the AI chipmaker were down roughly 14% from its record high closing price of $148.88 in early November.
Nvidia made a swift ascent to the top, from a graphics card company primarily used for video games to the world’s leading supplier of AI chips, as Big Tech goes all-in on generative artificial intelligence. In 2024, it has traded places with Apple ( AAPL ) as the world’s most valuable company, and in early November, it replaced the once-dominant Intel ( INTC ) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI ). Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said in a note last week he expects Nvidia’s market cap to surpass $4 trillion in 2025.
But following its record close in November, Nvidia shares began to fall after commentary from Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Google ( GOOG ) indicated that their AI spending will grow at a slower pace in the future. Rumors of overheating with its latest Blackwell AI servers stoked fears of further delays to the production ramp up, sending shares down even more . Even Nvidia’s most recent blowout earnings report , which surpassed bullish analysts’ already-high expectations , did little to help the stock's trajectory.
Adding to Nvidia’s troubles, China’s competition authority last week said it has launched an antitrust probe into Nvidia’s $7 billion acquisition of networking technology company Mellanox.
Meanwhile, the competition is heating up. Amazon ( AMZN ) in early December said it’s building a supercomputer with its new servers and its own Trainium AI chips — which it’s hoping can become a viable alternative to Nvidia . Broadcom ( AVGO ) said in its most recent earnings report that deals with hyperscalers to supply its custom AI chips called XPUs will bring in as much as $90 billion over the next three years — sending the stock soaring and Nvidia’s in the opposite direction, despite analyst commentary that Broadcom’s success won’t come at Nvidia’s expense .
Also on Tuesday, the PHLX Semiconductor Index ( ^SOX ), which includes Nvidia and other chipmakers' stocks, dipped nearly 2%.
Big Tech companies’ AI bills are still climbing to massive sums despite concerns that companies have yet to see a meaningful return on their investments . Microsoft’s capital expenditures nearly doubled from the year-ago period to $20 billion in its most recent quarterly report, while Meta's ( META ) expenses rose 36% to $9.2 billion over the same period. Google’s capital expenditures jumped 63% to $13 billion. At the same time, only 4% of US workers actually use AI daily, according to a recent Gallup poll cited by Bloomberg .
While JPMorgan ( JPM ) analyst Samik Chatterjee said in a note to investors Monday that fears of a slowdown in AI spending “appear to be unfounded” but acknowledged that “2024 was likely the peak in terms of the percentage increase.” While the biggest hyperscalers’ spending on AI-related infrastructure rose 57% in 2024, it will likely rise 30% in 2025 and 25% in 2026, Chatterjee estimates.