U.S. Bonds Eased, Risk Assets Rallied Last Week
Jun 12, 2023

Buyers pushed up prices for most of the major asset classes last week. US bonds were the downside outliers, based on a set of ETFs through Friday’s close (June 9).

Government fixed-income markets in emerging markets led the rallies. VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (NYSE: EMLC ) rose 1.3% last week, ending the session at its highest weekly close in nearly 1½ years. The fund continues to show an ongoing bullish trend that began in late-2022.

U.S. Bonds Eased, Risk Assets Rallied Last Week

Stocks in emerging markets were a close second-place winner last week, although the recent trend for these equities looks substantially weaker vs. their fixed-income counterparts. Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund (NYSE: VWO ) rallied for a second week but continues to trade in a range in 2023.

U.S. Bonds Eased, Risk Assets Rallied Last Week

All the major asset classes gained ground last week with the exceptions of US bonds. Inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) and a broad measure of investment-grade fixed income (BND) edged lower.

The Global Market Index (GMI.F) rose for a second week, gaining 0.4%. This unmanaged benchmark holds all the major asset classes (except cash) in market-value weights via ETFs and represents a competitive measure for multi-asset-class-portfolio strategies.

U.S. Bonds Eased, Risk Assets Rallied Last Week

Emerging-markets bonds are now leading the major asset classes for the trailing one-year return. EMLC is up 6.4% vs. the year-ago price. A handful of other markets are also posting one-year gains, including US stocks (NYSE: VTI ) via a 5.5% increase over the past 12 months.

Most markets, however, are still nursing losses for the past one-year trend. The deepest cut is in broadly defined commodities (NYSE: GCC ), which are underwater by more than 20%.

U.S. Bonds Eased, Risk Assets Rallied Last Week

Despite recent strength, most of the major asset classes are still posting relatively deep drawdowns. The deepest: foreign real estate shares (NASDAQ: VNQI ), which ended last week with a 28.1% peak-to-trough decline.

U.S. Bonds Eased, Risk Assets Rallied Last Week