U.S. Stock
Funds
Bonds
Forex
Cryptocurrencies
Macroeconomics
Style and Discipline
Policy & Regulation
Bonds
Jun 21, 2024
Junk Bonds Versus Government Bonds: Why It Matters
When stocks are in a bull market, we tend to see assets like growth stocks and junk bonds perform well as investors are in “risk-on” mode. And oftentimes, these are the assets to start...
READ MORE
Jun 19, 2024
10-Year Notes Nearing Strong Resistance: Breakdown or Breakout?
The 10-year notes, or "ZN's" are nearing some key resistance. The 50dma and 200dma (orange/red) moving averages have been intertwined for most of 2024 as price action has consolidated in this tight...
READ MORE
Jun 18, 2024
10-Year Treasury Yield Could Be Headed Lower
The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to defy The Capital Spectator’s ‘fair-value’ estimate by trading at a premium to this model, but the relatively wide gap still appears to be a constraint to...
READ MORE
Jun 06, 2024
Bond Market Could Be Getting Ready for a Summer Rally
The sharp drop in Treasury yields in recent days has revived chatter that the worst for the bond market may be over. It’s still early to confidently forecast that scenario, but the odds for recovery...
READ MORE
Jun 05, 2024
Is the Bond Market Rethinking the Outlook for Rate Cuts?
Here we go again. After yesterday’s news that US job openings fell to a three-year low in April, the data fueled the incentive for the bond market to reassess the view that the Federal Reserve will...
READ MORE
Jun 04, 2024
Long Bonds Rally: Should We Pay Attention?
After a huge down move that began in December 2021, the long bonds or TLT have had a few shallow short-covering rallies, but not much more than that. The “higher-for-longer” for interest rates...
READ MORE
May 21, 2024
Is the Yield Curve Still Relevant Amid Series of Wrong Recession Forecasts?
When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. But this time has been different, or so it...
READ MORE
May 16, 2024
10-Year US Treasury Yield Expected to Keep Dropping Following Upbeat CPI Report
A ‘fair-value’ estimate of the US 10-year Treasury yield was steady in April while the market level for the benchmark rate continued to rise well above the theoretical level. But trading...
READ MORE
May 15, 2024
3 Reasons Why It Is (Finally) a Good Time to Add Bond Exposure to Your Portfolio
The stock market keeps on pushing higher despite. Against this backdrop, investors should exercise caution due to high valuations and market cyclicality. Bonds offer attractive returns and can reduce...
READ MORE
May 13, 2024
Macro View: Oversold Treasuries Look Like a Great Opportunity at This Point
The below is Briefing.com’s weekly economic data table. April ’24 PPI and April ’24 CPI are due out Tuesday, May 14th, and Wednesday, May 15th, respectively.Shelter or OER (owners...
READ MORE