U.S. Stock
Funds
Bonds
Forex
Cryptocurrencies
Macroeconomics
Style and Discipline
Policy & Regulation
Bonds
May 11, 2023
10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Peaks as Fed Signals Pause
The wide spread between the US 10-year Treasury yield and CapitalSpectator.com’s lesser fair-value estimate continues to narrow, albeit slowly. As outlined on these pages in recent months, the...
READ MORE
May 08, 2023
Treasury Bonds Poised for a Big Move
As the Federal Reserve continues to fight inflation by raising interest rates, the market is growing uncertain about future rate hikes.Today, we share a chart comparing the 10 Year Treasury...
READ MORE
May 05, 2023
Safe-Haven Treasuries Vs. Risk Assets: Which Offers Better Yield?
Trailing yields have recently increased for most of the major asset classes, based on a set of ETF proxies. The question is whether the relatively high payout rates offset concerns about the...
READ MORE
Apr 26, 2023
Rates Spark: Bonds are Back… In Their Range
Markets are understandably skittish about the health of the financial sector, which allows bonds to act as a safe haven. We would be wary of acting on large market moves ahead of a week heavy in event...
READ MORE
Apr 14, 2023
10-Year Treasury Rate Set to Fall as Inflation Eases
The 10-year Treasury rate continues to trade well above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value estimate, but the days of a large premium look numbered. As evidence mounts that inflation continues to...
READ MORE
Apr 12, 2023
Why the Bond Market Is Becoming More Volatile
Last month we looked at how stock market volatility ebbs and flowsHow Monitoring Volatility Regimes Helps Anticipate Key Market Pivots through time. Let’s pick up this thread and do the same for...
READ MORE
Apr 12, 2023
Junk Bonds: Best Equity Predictor
Junk bonds are high-risk, high-yield bonds issued by companies with lower credit ratings. These bonds are also known as speculative-grade bonds or high-yield bonds because they offer a higher rate of...
READ MORE