MARKET NEWS
Jan 27, 2025
Fed to Pause Rate Cuts in the Face of Tariff Uncertainty
Markets trade at the mercy of Trump’s tariff rhetoric Fed to pause due to Trump uncertainty and strong US economy Investors may lock gaze on forward guidance Thursday’s GDP and Friday’s PCE data in...
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Jan 27, 2025
Trump’s Tactics Continue to Weigh on Market Sentiment
Trump’s tariff strategy paying off. Dollar rallies but equity indices take a tumble. The busy calendar this week as China celebrates New Year. Gold, oil and cryptos experience losses. Trump’s...
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Jan 26, 2025
DeepSeek: Is This a Sputnik Moment?
Is DeepSeek a Sputnik Moment? Let's break it down. The Soviet Union's October 1957 launch of the world's first artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, stunned the U.S., which reckoned it had a commanding...
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Jan 26, 2025
Inflation Risks, Employment Concerns Continue to Weigh on Consumer Sentiment
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment data for January was revised lower this morning, from 73.2 to 71.1. Well below the historical average of 84.7 (orange line), now for the 43rd straight...
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Jan 26, 2025
Stocks Week Ahead: Market's Risk to Reward Ratio Does Not Favor the Bulls
This week, we have the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made waves last Friday by raising its...
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Jan 26, 2025
Time to Recalibrate Our 3 Market Scenarios?
We regularly assess the subjective probabilities that we assign to our three scenarios: the Roaring 2020s (55%), the Meltup 1990s (25%), and the Stagflationary 1970s (20%). The last scenario, with...
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Jan 26, 2025
Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens Amid Trade Tariff Uncertainty
Gold Continues Moving Upwards The gold (XAU/USD) price rose by 0.64% on Friday as the US dollar (USD) weakened after US President Donald Trump called for lower interest rates, while the uncertainty...
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Jan 26, 2025
Resumption of Financial Tightening Could Expose Significant Market Vulnerabilities
The pause in financial conditions tightening helped stocks rally. Semiconductors’ market cap weighting reached an all-time high. Mag7 corporate bond yields are almost on par with...
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Jan 26, 2025
Maintaining Risk Control Is Crucial as Market Sentiment Can Shift Quickly
It’s been a volatile start to the year, with an abundance of expectations placed on what the new administration would do in its first weeks, days, and even hours of power. We’re off! This year, our...
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Jan 26, 2025
Markets Weekly Outlook: Fed to Extend Pause as Trump Era Begins?
US equities markets rose due to President Trump’s pro-business policies and decision to not impose tariffs on major trading partners yet. The Bank of Japan raised rates to 0.5%, the highest since...
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