MARKET NEWS
Jan 20, 2025
Extremes Become More Extreme, Then Revert to the Mean
A fatal bout of runaway instability becomes inevitable when "extraordinary emergency measures" become permanently essential to keep the bubbles from popping. A funny thing happens as policies...
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Jan 20, 2025
US Economy Humming as Trump Returns to White House Today
Donald Trump will be sworn in as the 47th president of the United States at 12 noon Eastern. When he takes the oath office for a second time at least one thing will be clear: He will enter the White...
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Jan 19, 2025
Risk Appetite Jumps Ahead of Trump’s Inauguration Ceremony
Markets are in a relatively good mood Trump’s second presidency will commence today Dollar takes losses, while the crypto market is thriving Yen tries to benefit from BoJ expectations; oil...
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Jan 19, 2025
Q4 Earnings Beat Rate and Surprise Factor Well Above Average So Far
Q4 earnings season officially kicked off this week with 21 S&P 500 companies (mostly financials) reporting earnings. 14 companies beat estimates, 6 missed, and 1 tied. The average “surprise...
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Jan 19, 2025
What Will 4 More Years of a Trump Administration Usher in for Cryptos and Gold
January 20th 2025 will be the beginning of 4 more years of Donald J. Trump being President. Everyone on the right of politics believes these will be 4 glorious years. Everyone on the left it seems...
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Jan 19, 2025
Gold Inches Closer to All-Time High Despite Friday's Dip
Gold Holds Not Far From The All-Time High Gold XAU/USD price dropped by 0.45% on Friday as the US dollar (USD) and Treasury yields increased. However, the bullion still managed to show a positive...
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Jan 19, 2025
Inflation and Insolvency Causing Interest Rates to Rise
US corporations' hiring plans last year totaled 769,953 workers, the fewest since 2015, according to the labor research firm Challenger, Grey, and Christmas. Private sector data shows that the need...
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Jan 19, 2025
S&P 500: Emini Bulls Need Follow-Through
Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini Futures The S&P 500 Emini bulls need follow-through buying to increase the odds of retesting the all-time high. If the market trades higher, the bears want a...
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Jan 19, 2025
How to Prepare for Tariff Day
This week will be crucial for markets as Trump is set to announce (or disappointingly not announce) tariffs. In this piece, I will highlight the rationale behind my base case scenario and its impact...
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Jan 19, 2025
Gold and Rates: Powerful Waves in Play
US Rates Update The US 10-year Bond Yield has completed wave i at the 5.021% high and we are correcting that 5-wave impulsive sequence within wave ii, which has the following retracement...
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