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MARKET NEWS

Should the Fed Cut Interest Rates Today?

The market is confident that a 25-basis-points reduction in interest rate is a done-deal for today’s policy announcement, based on Fed funds futures. But the question of whether the Fed should cut is...

More Revisions Could Be Coming to Employment Data

In August, the BLS revised 2024 employment growth lower by 818k jobs in its preliminary revision of its Current Employment Statistics (CES). Despite the substantial revision, more reductions to the...

FOMC Preview: What to Expect and How Will it Impact the US Dollar?

The FOMC meeting today is highly anticipated due to uncertainty surrounding future US monetary policy. Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut today and a slower pace of easing in 2025 due to...

FOMC Preview: Cut Then 'Prudent Pause' From Powell?

FOMC Meeting Key Takeaways Traders and economists confidently expect the Fed to reduce interest rates by 25bps to the 4.25-4.50% range. The Summary of Economic Projections and any Powell comments...

Gold Drops as Potential Rate Cut Weighs on Market Sentiment

Gold Dips as Investors Anticipate Gradual Rate Cuts by the Fed Gold (XAU/USD) price dropped by 1.23% on Tuesday due to the strengthening US dollar (US Dollar) and rising Treasury yields as investors...

Fed Expected to Make Third Rate Cut Today—Here’s What to Expect

Key Takeaways The Fed is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Increased market instability is possible as the event looms. The US economy added 227,000...

S&P 500: Equal-Weight Weakness Signals Eroding Market Breadth Ahead of Fed

It was another weak day for the markets. The S&P 500 closed lower by 39 basis points, but the weakness was more pronounced in the RSP equal-weight index, down 80 basis points. The Dow dropped for...

Record retail sales not as good as they appear

Total (EPA:TTEF) retail sales for November came in better than expectations, now $724.6 billion and another record high. Retail sales are now +38% above the pre-COVID high. Novembers gain came in at...

S&P 500 E-mini Becoming Neutral on Daily Chart

S&P Emini market analysis Emini daily chart The Emini is in a tight trading range on the daily chart and, therefore, a neutral market. Traders should assume that the probability is close to 50%...

PMI Data Lifts Some Q4 Nowcasts, but Median Growth Estimate Remains Modest

Several updated nowcasts for US economic activity in the fourth quarter have been revised sharply higher recently, but the median estimate barely changed, based on the several data points from a...

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